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[B] OPINION: The British Countryside In The Tourist Season --
Updated Thurs  July   26, 2001 
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THE BridgeNews FORUM: On farming, farm policy    
and related agricultural issues.   
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* Tony Blair's Announcement That He Would Spend Some Of His Holiday In 
    The Countryside Was Not Greeted With Much Enthusiasm In Rural Areas


By David Walker, agricultural economist

     NORWICH, England--July signaled the start of the silly 
season in Europe, and the mass exodus from the urban centers of 
northern Europe for the rural vacation environment of southern 
France and beyond leaves government and business in something 
of a limbo in northwestern Europe.

     Exactly what stimulates this lemming-like migration is 
difficult to divine, but the fact that it is de rigueur for 
those involved suggests the participants come home consistently 
satisfied despite the horrendous traffic congestion experienced 
on all roads south almost every weekend in July and August.

     All this might seem something of an irrelevance to most 
British farmers who are notoriously poor clients for travel 
agents. But the habits of urban dwellers increasingly impinge 
on the future of farming and there are lessons to be learnt 
from this mass migration.

     Any British farmer who had the time and inclination to 
join the throng would find plenty of interest in Northern 
France. There is a familiarity to the countryside, but enough 
of a difference to his home to challenge his thoughts as he 
crawls south.

     But as he approached holiday destinations in the south, 
the country becomes more broken, farming peters out into little 
more than sporadic vineyards and tourist attractions mushroom.

     These facilities appear well-kept, seem to be well enough 
patronized and provide a superficial gloss to the countryside. 
Some investment in housing by those who are able to afford a 
holiday home is also evident. But beyond this visual varnish, 
the wider country side would appear to a farmer run down and in 
need of much more than a lick of paint.

     The British farmer might, therefore, return home feeling 
less dissatisfied with his lot than when he left. He might, 
however, be missing a point that is likely to haunt him in the 
future. To the urban dweller the run-down state of the countryside 
is seen as charm. And those from Britain may see it as something 
of a model for the uncertain future of Britain's countryside.

     Prime Minister Tony Blair reportedly favors vacationing in
Tuscany in northern Italy, even if he is spending some of his 
vacation this year in Britain.

     Is mass migration from British and even European urban 
centers to the British countryside a viable alternative to 
Britain's farm-based rural economy?

     Rural Britain is not new to tourism, of course. The list of 
destinations is long--the Lake District, the Cotswolds, Shakespeare 
country and the Scottish Highlands, to mention just a few with 
international reputation. But these are by and large character 
destinations and would likely have difficulty in accommodating 
the kind of onslaught southern France absorbs.

     Unlike southern France, most of Britain has a serious 
commercial agricultural base. But of course, it is not beyond 
the wit of Westminster to solve that. Indeed a good start has 
been made, with farm incomes already one-tenth of what they were 
five years ago. Farmers are increasingly being encouraged to put 
visual environmental considerations above sustainable agriculture 
and even diversify into tourism.

     There is certainly no shortage of people with money enough 
to spend on vacation to swamp rural Britain. In contrast to 
continental Europe, destinations are relatively close to the urban 
centers. Continental-style summer weekend road congestion could 
never be matched in Britain, simply because roads are not long 
enough to accommodate the length of European holiday traffic jams.

     Further from the murmurings of the tourist industry, vacant 
accommodation is not an immediate barrier to growth either. The 
real question is whether the average British holiday-maker can be 
weaned of his preference for heading off to foreign parts.

     The government is certainly capable of creating the ambience 
of southern France by relegating the role of agriculture. What it 
is almost certainly not capable of engineering is Mediterranean 
weather.

     The most serious challenge, however, is that those who live 
and work in the countryside do not seem to share the urban vision. 
Surely they may have it forced upon them, but while this is happening 
the British countryside will hardly be a happy place to holiday.

     The announcement by Blair that he would spend some of his 
family holidays in the British countryside was not greeted with 
much enthusiasm in rural areas. As Blair is reputedly a master 
of spin, and if one assumes his doctors got this one right, the 
message must have been intended for city folk.

     While few of them are likely to follow the prime minister's 
example, he might just learn on holiday that the idea tourism 
replacing farming as the mainstay of rural Britain won't work.

    DAVID WALKER, an agricultural economist, lives on his family's farm  
outside Norwich, England. He recently served as senior economist in London
for the Home-Grown Cereals Authority and previously was executive director
of the Alberta Grain Commission in Canada. He also maintains a Web site
at http://www.openi.co.uk/. His views are not necessarily those of BridgeNews,
whose ventures include the Internet site http://www.bridge.com/.

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